There have been active wars in Ukraine, Yemen, and Syria over the last year, and wretched chaos in Libya. China is up to something in the South China Sea to route around USG patron concerns. Russia was sanctioned, had their currency attacked by the USG system, endured a weak attempt at a color revolution, and recently enjoyed the USG admitting defeat in Ukraine.
Anything going on in Thailand? It has been a year since the coup, and not a peep has emerged from Thailand. The pushback on democratic evangelism will start at the edges with Thailand’s coup being an early sign.
Not all coups are the same. This coup does not resemble the Cold War era coups. This coup also had quite the amount of popular support, as the prior regime was becoming increasingly corrupt. The New York Times even reported how the entire class of educated people had become concerned about how one man one vote gave a bit too much power to the easily persuaded poor. Just publishing those evil, anti-democratic thoughts is dangerous for the New York Times’ readership to imbibe. The junta has played the aftermath very well. They are going through what the Western press calls sham trials to target opponents. The junta also has provided security, peace and while economic growth is slower, it still exists. What more could the people of Thailand want?
A Western journalist knows what they want and should do. This euro wants the Thai people to confront the junta, despite a majority wanting the coup and the resulting maintenance of peace and security. He laments how political rallies have been banned and how freedom of expression has been curtailed. What expression exactly? Random Thais expressing political opinions should not affect the political deal-making process and otherwise usually lead to disorder and unrest if they grow. A military controlled council is rewriting the constitution and has pushed back new elections, setting new dates twice now. This euro’s biggest lament:
The long-term consequences of the political situation in Thailand are being ignored in favor of short-term benefits – mainly the maintenance of security and peace. That makes it more difficult to demand civil rights and an end to dictatorship.
Oh, the shame of people getting what they want: peace and security. An indifference curve is the economic idea that people value things in different ways but value different levels of multiple goods equally if they provide the same overall total utility.
In a social way, we all have social indifference curves. The writer has no concept that people may have a social indifference curve, and not everyone is ginned up for the right to march topless in order to protest churches. Some people, many people, value safety, security, and stability over the right for political expression that has no affect on the moves of elites. Of course, Western progressives will favor any protest that pushes the right talking point because that protest can be magnified using the Western media force multiplier. The writer mentions how the opposition forces that may protest will only be restrained if the people fail to realize the military cannot resolve the conflict. Recapping the status of Thailand, what conflict do the mass of people see?
This is more a conflict for the USG system and its desire to democratize the world and maintain control of the international community. The formerly strong levers and tools the USG has at their disposal have become rusty and unreliable. Like the Egyptian junta that deposed the democratically elected Morsi, Thailand’s junta has also sought friendship and support from Russia and China, while the U.S. is busy elsewhere–friendship which is only amplified by Russian and Chinese defiance in the face of USG geopolitical moves. China publicly saying they would respect a diversity of government forms gives smaller nations like Thailand cover.
This also explains the proggification of the American armed forces in recent years. Progressive elites cannot risk our armed forces, one of the last institutions with widespread public support, to remove from power and punish elites who can win one man, one vote systems, since they can persuade just enough low-information voters to pull the lever for them in November. Thailand is just one nation, but a reliable long time post-World War II ally of the United States.
The domino effect against the shrinking USG system will start on the edges but slowly and surely make its way back to American shores.